Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f9cfbeb66ef3b081ca875a62848f1e4c93988f6f9e4db2fa253e6e83079d7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,463$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.31 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,103$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.77 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 393.61$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 56c | 241.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 234.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 12c | 211.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 69c | 97.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 28c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 55c | 71.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 35c | 56.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 53c | 42.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 53c | 36.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.