Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4931956f1ff92b00d52a9d1ec5973ad72135b2a1fb353d6d5eb9bab5913552d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 4,732$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.19 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 3,474$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.14 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 65c | 2,184$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 2,179$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.16 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 66c | 1,905$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 65c | 1,670$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 36c | 1,537$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.88 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 36c | 1,530$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 1,382$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.61 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 64c | 1,357$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 36c | 1,351$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.8 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 37c | 1,250$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 1,177$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.17 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 63c | 895$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.15 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 3c | 858.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 572$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 38c | 512$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 37c | 366.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 330$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 317.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 38c | 201.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 36c | 189.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 38c | 156.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 39c | 142.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 67c | 141.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 75c | 129.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 37c | 118.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 101.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 34c | 87.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 65c | 39.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…7116backed Over | 38c | 37.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 63c | 36.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 38c | 32.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 31.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 36c | 31.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 34c | 30.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 62c | 30.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…960bbacked Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 63c | 21.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 62c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 66c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.