Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd371814a380753000e97131f757fcbd39fea2f9372cb7af0272f66bb112f302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 4,779$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.24 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 45c | 3,484$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 47c | 1,250$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 238.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 134.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 96.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 55c | 56.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 55c | 54.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 48.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 31.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 46c | 23.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 56c | 18.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked No | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5Over won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.