Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf21f134b344eccdf3aacac75e89ea39ee5284cb0f8041bfa0fcbe7fc5042ff52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Safiullinof Ruud, Safiullin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Ruud | 11c | 2,035$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Ruud | 79c | 1,909$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Ruud | 10c | 1,900$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Ruud | 15c | 1,275$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Ruud | 2c | 1,140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Safiullin | 21c | 1,128$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.51 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Safiullin | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Ruud | 8c | 700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Safiullin | 20c | 595.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.18 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Ruud | 80c | 472$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Ruud | 5c | 387.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Ruud | 76c | 341.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.88 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Ruud | 78c | 257$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…2bcbbacked Ruud | 79c | 245.31$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Safiullin | 24c | 241.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Safiullin | 18c | 231$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Ruud | 70c | 209.85$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…36f6backed Ruud | 78c | 208$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Safiullin | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked Ruud | 11c | 188$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed Ruud | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Safiullin | 19c | 158.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ruud | 11c | 145.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Safiullin | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Ruud | 48c | 90.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ruud | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Ruud | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…41f6backed Ruud | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Ruud | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Roman Safiullin: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Casper Ruud vs. Roman Safiullin: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman SafiullinCasper Ruud won
- Ruud vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Ruud vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs SafiullinRuud won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)Safiullin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.