Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b56c1aef3915b2cd3f761af80850d1eef0ef88e0c887570b429e30750cd64d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Safiullinof Ruud, Safiullin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Safiullin | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Ruud | 52c | 2,393$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.89 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Ruud | 10c | 2,010$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Ruud | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Safiullin | 48c | 1,905$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.79 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Ruud | 51c | 1,428$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Ruud | 50c | 1,308$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Safiullin | 50c | 1,308$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Safiullin | 50c | 1,000$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.1 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Safiullin | 50c | 952.69$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.95 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Ruud | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Ruud | 49c | 645.06$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.93 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Ruud | 53c | 613.76$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.92 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Ruud | 51c | 599.97$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Ruud | 50c | 596.86$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.43 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Safiullin | 49c | 418$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed Ruud | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Ruud | 52c | 336.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Safiullin | 47c | 310.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Safiullin | 48c | 228.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Ruud | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ruud | 11c | 218$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Ruud | 50c | 210.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Ruud | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Safiullin | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Ruud | 51c | 186.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Safiullin | 49c | 155.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Safiullin | 49c | 133.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Safiullin | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Safiullin | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Safiullin | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Ruud | 50c | 114.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Safiullin | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Ruud | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Ruud | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Safiullin | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Safiullin | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Safiullin | 48c | 93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Safiullin | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Safiullin | 50c | 63.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…1c15backed Ruud | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Ruud | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked Ruud | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Safiullin | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Safiullin | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Ruud | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…7f00backed Ruud | 53c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Safiullin | 47c | 25.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Ruud | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Ruud | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Roman Safiullin: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Casper Ruud vs. Roman Safiullin: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman SafiullinCasper Ruud won
- Ruud vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Ruud vs. Safiullin: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs SafiullinRuud won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)Safiullin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.