Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wright State Raiders vs. Northern Kentucky Norse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2b60760bd268aa9a301ee665b11eeef0252bed17333e63c4474f6799fece20d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Wright State Raiders, Northern Kentucky Norse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wright State Raiders | 29c | 12,103$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,589.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 59c | 4,722$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.79 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 61c | 3,827$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wright State Raiders | 43c | 2,326$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.33 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wright State Raiders | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.98 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wright State Raiders | 32c | 2,068$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.57 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 57c | 1,777$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.2 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 50c | 1,639$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.57 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Wright State Raiders | 42c | 1,342$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.17 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 1,255$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.59 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wright State Raiders | 21c | 1,241$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.5 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wright State Raiders | 12c | 1,219$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…536fbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 2c | 1,005$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wright State Raiders | 25c | 935.97$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.84 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 36c | 842.14$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 58c | 772.41$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 7c | 737.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 3c | 720.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 76c | 651.82$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 59c | 480.19$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.31 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 460.93$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wright State Raiders | 40c | 308.55$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 34c | 301.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wright State Raiders | 42c | 297.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Wright State Raiders | 5c | 245.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wright State Raiders | 41c | 226$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wright State Raiders | 48c | 216.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Wright State Raiders | 14c | 205.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Wright State Raiders | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wright State Raiders | 41c | 189$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 58c | 170.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wright State Raiders | 13c | 141.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Wright State Raiders | 30c | 129.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 78c | 115.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wright State Raiders | 45c | 115.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wright State Raiders | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Wright State Raiders | 42c | 99.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 58c | 99.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Wright State Raiders | 41c | 95.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Wright State Raiders | 42c | 94.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 59c | 84.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wright State Raiders | 41c | 77.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Wright State Raiders | 33c | 52.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed Wright State Raiders | 31c | 46.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 78c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wright State Raiders | 61c | 38.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Wright State Raiders | 42c | 35.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wright State Raiders | 43c | 26.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 58c | 25.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 59c | 21.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 20.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…ad03backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 61c | 17.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 77c | 15.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wright State Raiders vs. Northern Kentucky Norsethis page
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-2.5)Wright State Raiders won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.