MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2fe96b1aeada1955882e670f0d0c6badb572628ac6aa21042e9b56420e08689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 5c | 1,091$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 904$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.06 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 552.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.65 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 448.1$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.64 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 340.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…8aeabacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 320.56$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 300.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 299.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 182.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 158.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 145$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 127$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 119.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 100.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 89.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 86.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 77.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 65.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…34e5backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 64.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kia Tigers | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 57.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 50.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 40.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 40.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…a401backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 37.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17f…92d8backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kia Tigers | 70c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Kia Tigers | 70c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Kia Tigers | 54c | 20.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 19.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.