Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3ad21466218489afdf4a681faa86e933e46d86ee532088abf5b4463d7c1c5cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 62c | 8,127$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 3,904$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.93 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…544dbacked Yes | 0c | 2,766$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 2,402$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.6 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,250$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 61c | 1,202$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 36c | 1,193$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes | 72c | 1,129$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 829.01$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.94 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 623.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.29 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 37c | 557.54$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.51 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 70c | 486.33$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 69c | 433.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked Yes | 64c | 430$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 7c | 315.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 45c | 306.05$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 42c | 276.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 54c | 272$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 42c | 259.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 42c | 259.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes | 75c | 233.33$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 62c | 217.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 160.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…ea46backed Yes | 64c | 155.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 52c | 141.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 52c | 136.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 52c | 134.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 78c | 128.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed Yes | 16c | 117.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…ec4cbacked Yes | 65c | 114$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 54c | 101.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 47c | 94.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 29c | 86.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 38c | 83.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Yes | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 66c | 80.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 50c | 79.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 62c | 78.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 67c | 74.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 67c | 72.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 62c | 72.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 70c | 71.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 62c | 67.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 31c | 65.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 71c | 65.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4108backed Yes | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…55d0backed Yes | 27c | 57.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 64c | 55.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed No | 34c | 54.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…7e2ebacked Yes | 34c | 50.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…e058backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 62c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 45.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 64c | 41.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…578abacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 61c | 36.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 70c | 35.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked No | 71c | 35.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 47c | 33.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1704…2e46backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 27.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 65c | 24.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 71c | 18.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…e152backed Yes | 62c | 18.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?Yes won
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.