Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3bcc8cac404a6213667ca7fe96ad96d62e1f409bf8f0d0234364d0b9bd8415b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Team Heretics Academy, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team Heretics Academy | 42c | 2,568$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.28 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Barça eSports | 58c | 1,235$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.7 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Barça eSports | 59c | 954.88$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.01 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed Team Heretics Academy | 36c | 759.74$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Barça eSports | 58c | 624.57$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Barça eSports | 70c | 500$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 463 | 39.5%183 W · 280 L | -37.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Team Heretics Academy | 42c | 328.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Barça eSports | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Barça eSports | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Team Heretics Academy | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Heretics Academy | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Barça eSports | 61c | 61.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed Barça eSports | 59c | 52.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…cae0backed Team Heretics Academy | 32c | 33.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 419 | 47%197 W · 222 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Barça eSports | 58c | 31.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Heretics Academy | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 184 | 63.6%117 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Barça eSports | 59c | 23.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Barça eSports | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Barça eSports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)Team Heretics Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES PlayoffsTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 3 WinnerBarça eSports won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 4 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.