Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x716b40ad5eb586cf759f3b3789a8e6371b2fd6ea3ef9cd4693af9862e723addf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Heretics Academyof Team Heretics Academy, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Team Heretics Academy | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team Heretics Academy | 69c | 3,513$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.73 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Barça eSports | 34c | 3,270$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Heretics Academy | 66c | 3,038$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.92 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Barça eSports | 30c | 3,001$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.17 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Barça eSports | 30c | 2,918$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.8 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Team Heretics Academy | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.56 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Barça eSports | 36c | 1,661$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.29 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Barça eSports | 30c | 1,518$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.43 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Barça eSports | 31c | 1,391$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Barça eSports | 31c | 1,094$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.03 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Heretics Academy | 67c | 833.33$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked Barça eSports | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Team Heretics Academy | 66c | 694.03$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Team Heretics Academy | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Barça eSports | 30c | 433.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Barça eSports | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Barça eSports | 33c | 378.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Barça eSports | 31c | 348.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Barça eSports | 31c | 335.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Barça eSports | 33c | 301.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Barça eSports | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Heretics Academy | 67c | 293.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Heretics Academy | 71c | 287.49$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Team Heretics Academy | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Team Heretics Academy | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Barça eSports | 32c | 133.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Barça eSports | 31c | 112$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Barça eSports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Barça eSports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Heretics Academy | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Team Heretics Academy | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Barça eSports | 32c | 53.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…8361backed Team Heretics Academy | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…3b05backed Team Heretics Academy | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Team Heretics Academy | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Team Heretics Academy | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Heretics Academy | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Heretics Academy | 70c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5)Barça eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES PlayoffsTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 3 WinnerBarça eSports won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 4 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.