Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x430ad80b69a9c6bf927d58f85aa74435478bfee82ea1c54b5ec824cdb2397351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.14 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 55c | 3,891$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.28 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 46c | 3,140$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.37 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Under | 44c | 2,805$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.41 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Under | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 56c | 1,479$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.57 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 55c | 906.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.69 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 57c | 763.02$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.38 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 37c | 758$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.54 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 56c | 658.69$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.82 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 42c | 628.33$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.89 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 52c | 613.46$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.46 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 55c | 600$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 52c | 494$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 37c | 440$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 44c | 395.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over | 55c | 355$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 45c | 353.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 52c | 267$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 55c | 227.15$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 52c | 172.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 48c | 172.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 38c | 160.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…3b05backed Under | 44c | 105.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 56c | 102.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 41c | 77.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Over | 59c | 77.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 56c | 74.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 57c | 70.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 55c | 47.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Over | 52c | 37.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 55c | 18.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)Team Heretics Academy won
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5)Barça eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES PlayoffsTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 3 WinnerBarça eSports won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 4 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.