Tennis · resolved market
ITF Granby: Erika Sema vs Cadence Brace
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf47eba0602e6df1480f4ed07eb1faf02ba4c1dd24dbd749bf9f3b7a4d64b06da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cadence Braceof Erika Sema, Cadence Brace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Cadence Brace | 53c | 36,725$19,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,246.52 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…85efbacked Erika Sema | 53c | 36,472$19,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,510.69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Cadence Brace | 6c | 9,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,930 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Erika Sema | 55c | 6,560$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Cadence Brace | 53c | 6,383$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.39 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…d758backed Erika Sema | 15c | 3,913$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.12 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Erika Sema | 57c | 2,648$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Erika Sema | 23c | 1,637$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.57 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Erika Sema | 14c | 1,316$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Erika Sema | 28c | 1,222$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.03 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Erika Sema | 44c | 992$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.52 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Erika Sema | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cadence Brace | 56c | 359.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Erika Sema | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Erika Sema | 37c | 308.74$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cadence Brace | 28c | 275.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Erika Sema | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Cadence Brace | 74c | 252.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Erika Sema | 45c | 221.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Erika Sema | 23c | 201.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Erika Sema | 53c | 189.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Cadence Brace | 40c | 183.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Erika Sema | 56c | 180.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Erika Sema | 56c | 163.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Cadence Brace | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Erika Sema | 24c | 144.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Erika Sema | 40c | 125.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Cadence Brace | 65c | 108.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Erika Sema | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Erika Sema | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Erika Sema | 33c | 94.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Erika Sema | 43c | 89.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Erika Sema | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Erika Sema | 57c | 85.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Erika Sema | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Erika Sema | 80c | 75.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Erika Sema | 33c | 70.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Cadence Brace | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Erika Sema | 56c | 57.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Cadence Brace | 42c | 52.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…cdb0backed Cadence Brace | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Erika Sema | 43c | 37.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7cf8backed Cadence Brace | 62c | 33.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Erika Sema | 41c | 32.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Cadence Brace | 42c | 32.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Erika Sema | 47c | 32.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…c4a2backed Cadence Brace | 50c | 31.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Erika Sema | 39c | 26.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…cfa8backed Cadence Brace | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Erika Sema | 52c | 21.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Cadence Brace | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Cadence Brace | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Cadence Brace | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.