Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Keshav Chopra
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4ad66da5faa78505c6485607d896937d47021dfb50b21c83da501116e9bf395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keshav Chopraof Aidan Mayo, Keshav Chopra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keshav Chopra | 19c | 5,127$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Aidan Mayo | 60c | 3,005$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.8 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Keshav Chopra | 7c | 2,711$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.15 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keshav Chopra | 56c | 2,650$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.47 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Keshav Chopra | 79c | 1,161$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aidan Mayo | 36c | 1,013$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.41 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Aidan Mayo | 30c | 944.77$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.42 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Aidan Mayo | 9c | 933.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aidan Mayo | 68c | 771.2$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.47 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Keshav Chopra | 65c | 714.67$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Keshav Chopra | 39c | 473.96$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.88 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Keshav Chopra | 79c | 391.14$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Aidan Mayo | 40c | 374.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Keshav Chopra | 73c | 312.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Aidan Mayo | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Aidan Mayo | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aidan Mayo | 41c | 284.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Aidan Mayo | 34c | 267.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Keshav Chopra | 15c | 258.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Aidan Mayo | 57c | 252.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Keshav Chopra | 11c | 229.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Keshav Chopra | 14c | 218.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.26 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keshav Chopra | 44c | 200.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Aidan Mayo | 19c | 181.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Aidan Mayo | 26c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Aidan Mayo | 16c | 128.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aidan Mayo | 71c | 94.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Keshav Chopra | 54c | 88.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Keshav Chopra | 60c | 83.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Keshav Chopra | 76c | 80.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Keshav Chopra | 16c | 74.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Aidan Mayo | 52c | 66.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Aidan Mayo | 32c | 63.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keshav Chopra | 45c | 46.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Keshav Chopra | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 359 | 56.8%204 W · 155 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Keshav Chopra | 25c | 41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Aidan Mayo | 36c | 36.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Aidan Mayo | 42c | 35.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Aidan Mayo | 36c | 32.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 800 | 51%408 W · 392 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Keshav Chopra | 65c | 30.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Keshav Chopra | 58c | 29.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 207 | 58.5%121 W · 86 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.