Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Chicago State Cougars vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4e3c6c589a043b7cde5112fee0724febda604b3c395158cd134407fb0e12f0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago State Cougarsof Chicago State Cougars, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 1c | 1,982$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 800$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.12 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 11c | 743.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.85 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Chicago State Cougars | 21c | 717$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.75 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 552.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.33 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chicago State Cougars | 9c | 530.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.89 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Chicago State Cougars | 79c | 522$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 469.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.41 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 21c | 365.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Chicago State Cougars | 73c | 316.22$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 8c | 297.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.46 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 78c | 221.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.03 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago State Cougars | 21c | 220.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.23 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 36c | 220$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 79c | 218$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Chicago State Cougars | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 49c | 105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Chicago State Cougars | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 30c | 89.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chicago State Cougars | 13c | 77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 47.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 69c | 30.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…9338backed Chicago State Cougars | 69c | 30.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersthis page
- Spread: Loyola Chicago Ramblers (-14.5)Chicago State Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.