Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Marozsan vs Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf58731aa4fc67cb7bc40e328f1efe72c0027426a2e6021b3c60860f526718eb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marozsanof Marozsan, Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fokina | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Marozsan | 35c | 870.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.61 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…bdbdbacked Fokina | 65c | 649.26$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Fokina | 65c | 618.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Marozsan | 35c | 245.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Fokina | 59c | 199.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marozsan | 47c | 182.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marozsan | 43c | 175.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Fokina | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marozsan | 52c | 170.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Marozsan | 57c | 151.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fokina | 44c | 150.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fokina | 50c | 136.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marozsan | 34c | 129$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Fokina | 57c | 112.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…63c2backed Fokina | 65c | 66.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marozsan | 36c | 61.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…82c5backed Fokina | 57c | 57.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Marozsan | 38c | 53.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Marozsan | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf1…8c29backed Fokina | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fokina | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Marozsan | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Marozsan | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marozsan | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…1d99backed Fokina | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Marozsan vs Fokinathis page
- Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlejandro Davidovich Fokina won
- Marozsan vs. Fokina: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Marozsan vs FokinaFokina won
- Set Handicap: Fokina (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)Marozsan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.