Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5e3634fa29691d9d074868a0069f1e653ae0edb0ef232eeac13e60c2c06ec79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abilene Christian Wildcatsof Tarleton State Texans, Abilene Christian Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 4,907$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.89 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 63c | 3,603$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 36c | 3,532$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 27c | 1,506$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.34 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Tarleton State Texans | 73c | 1,074$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.27 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 1,024$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.4 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Tarleton State Texans | 2c | 999.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tarleton State Texans | 56c | 837.44$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tarleton State Texans | 63c | 698.02$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.05 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 57c | 671.09$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.28 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tarleton State Texans | 9c | 539.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 43c | 537.04$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 512.29$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Tarleton State Texans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 60c | 499.42$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.25 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 63c | 474.11$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tarleton State Texans | 63c | 355$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.45 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 334$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 39c | 321.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 42c | 291.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Tarleton State Texans | 45c | 287$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 58c | 266$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 61c | 238.04$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tarleton State Texans | 59c | 221.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Tarleton State Texans | 44c | 219.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Tarleton State Texans | 42c | 215$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tarleton State Texans | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Tarleton State Texans | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tarleton State Texans | 63c | 170$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Tarleton State Texans | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tarleton State Texans | 40c | 149.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 45c | 106.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tarleton State Texans | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…d0eebacked Tarleton State Texans | 64c | 77.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 62.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 27c | 61.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tarleton State Texans | 42c | 59.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…82a8backed Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Tarleton State Texans | 80c | 51.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Tarleton State Texans | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…2dc7backed Tarleton State Texans | 79c | 48.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 44c | 44.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 41c | 38.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 37c | 38.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tarleton State Texans | 44c | 33.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 70c | 29.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 60c | 28.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 27.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Tarleton State Texans | 42c | 23.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 55c | 22.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 19.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsthis page
- Spread: Abilene Christian Wildcats (-1.5)Abilene Christian Wildcats won
- Spread: Abilene Christian Wildcats (-2.5)Abilene Christian Wildcats won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 135.5Under won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 136.5Under won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 137.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.