TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c2,255$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.785,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under7c2,232$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.972,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under41c1,994$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.371450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over79c1,586$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.638,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under6c793.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.996826.5%18 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under5c774.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.742,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over70c543.55$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.932,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002982.8%24 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under7c458.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.393,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under43c226.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.325356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under9c166.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0272450.6%366 W · 358 L-24.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under39c149$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.415054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over75c143.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8214463.9%92 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under41c112$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.616647%31 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under10c108.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over77c88.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7450643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.956877.9%53 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed6c…4eb1backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091580%12 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+86.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over77c33.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over77c27.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3860156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over76c25.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2319255.2%106 W · 86 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Over59c25.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.495164.7%33 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0641662%258 W · 158 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over72c21.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0363261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.054173.2%30 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over78c13.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.