South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40ac413a413cf0d2642b3e43cda1b9c66d15510ff3a739451675322411f3d52c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigres de la UANLof Tigres de la UANL, Atlante FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlante FC | 65c | 1,625$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Tigres de la UANL | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.79 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlante FC | 57c | 1,255$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.11 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tigres de la UANL | 37c | 1,014$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlante FC | 51c | 794.73$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Tigres de la UANL | 47c | 720.13$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.67 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tigres de la UANL | 38c | 664.04$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.82 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Tigres de la UANL | 38c | 258.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Tigres de la UANL | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlante FC | 77c | 170.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Atlante FC | 65c | 158.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Tigres de la UANL | 17c | 150.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Tigres de la UANL | 37c | 148.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tigres de la UANL | 20c | 114.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Tigres de la UANL | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Atlante FC | 51c | 77.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tigres de la UANL | 75c | 63.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Atlante FC | 19c | 62.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Tigres de la UANL | 39c | 53.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Tigres de la UANL | 37c | 52.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Tigres de la UANL | 39c | 40.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tigres de la UANL | 37c | 40.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Tigres de la UANL | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Tigres de la UANL | 37c | 39.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…be4bbacked Atlante FC | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Atlante FC | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlante FC | 69c | 21.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Atlante FC | 62c | 20.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Tigres de la UANL | 73c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Atlante FC won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Tigres de la UANL O/U 0.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.