South American Leagues · resolved market
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf281a53fe8a77a6b6150cbf6193d3fb5ff152d73e23ce24389ee59334f16103a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 4c | 12,501$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 11,126$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 2,156$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.98 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 1,645$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.58 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Under | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 885.94$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.49 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 10c | 872.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…340bbacked Over | 35c | 605.62$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 20c | 545.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 55c | 401.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 375.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 4c | 332.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 277.01$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 243.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 44c | 204$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 42c | 182.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 78c | 152.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 8c | 141.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 10c | 119.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 11c | 105.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Over | 21c | 91.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 89.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 78.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 71.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 56c | 63.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 19c | 55.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 53.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 52.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Under | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 42c | 35.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Under | 45c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Atlante FC (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Atlante FC won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Atlante FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Tigres de la UANL O/U 0.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.