TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c6,338$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,577.98,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c3,563$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.325,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Under32c3,515$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c2,638$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.682,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under21c2,465$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5131,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c2,359$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.62,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over79c2,017$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.5719742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under22c302$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.447445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under31c158$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9623044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over44c130.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.381,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over78c128.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.323759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6476951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Over41c106.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.58728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over80c100.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.184850%24 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under10c99.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under20c86.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under51c81.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8716449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c76.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over74c72.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over78c71.29$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over46c69.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8363061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over48c67.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2414264.1%91 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under61c66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.425054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe30f…ab88backed Under37c54.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405236.5%19 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under32c40.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Over80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52785.2%23 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick78cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under56c31.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.799056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c28.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.662,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over46c27.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over46c27.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over43c27.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.952528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over48c27.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.194973.5%36 W · 13 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed Over80c27.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53187.1%27 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick78cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under56c25.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2519349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad7…6117backed Over40c25.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over78c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.012,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8841262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under57c21.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125164.7%33 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over79c19.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1723253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.352875%21 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.