Tennis · resolved market
San Marino: Marco Cecchinato vs Franco Agamenone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6726376acf9420a45e83f7ee0a997f19ba5856c672a5ef862e91f0f038a0df2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Cecchinatoof Marco Cecchinato, Franco Agamenone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franco Agamenone | 18c | 4,308$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marco Cecchinato | 79c | 2,780$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.2 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…1c2ebacked Franco Agamenone | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Franco Agamenone | 17c | 797.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Franco Agamenone | 16c | 783.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Franco Agamenone | 25c | 635.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Franco Agamenone | 7c | 469.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Franco Agamenone | 31c | 306.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Franco Agamenone | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Franco Agamenone | 31c | 206.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Franco Agamenone | 35c | 204.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Franco Agamenone | 26c | 183.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Franco Agamenone | 12c | 161$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Franco Agamenone | 30c | 151.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Franco Agamenone | 31c | 151.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Franco Agamenone | 18c | 150.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Marco Cecchinato | 79c | 149.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Franco Agamenone | 19c | 149.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Franco Agamenone | 16c | 101.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Franco Agamenone | 33c | 95.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Franco Agamenone | 16c | 93.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Franco Agamenone | 18c | 79.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Franco Agamenone | 20c | 69.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Marco Cecchinato | 74c | 68.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Franco Agamenone | 29c | 68.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Franco Agamenone | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Franco Agamenone | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Marco Cecchinato | 80c | 47.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Franco Agamenone | 33c | 46.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Marco Cecchinato | 70c | 46.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Franco Agamenone | 30c | 42.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Franco Agamenone | 35c | 41.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 38.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…d2b9backed Marco Cecchinato | 71c | 35.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Franco Agamenone | 35c | 29.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Marco Cecchinato | 70c | 23.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Marco Cecchinato | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Marco Cecchinato | 71c | 18.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.