Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Ksenia Efremova vs Sorana Cirstea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6e0e8aad38f18f4c8aad61c0ece36bae9aae9db1dc517149b63d5f3b34f324e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sorana Cirsteaof Ksenia Efremova, Sorana Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ksenia Efremova | 11c | 16,175$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Ksenia Efremova | 5c | 9,701$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.64 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Ksenia Efremova | 6c | 7,560$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.26 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ksenia Efremova | 5c | 7,231$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.31 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ksenia Efremova | 10c | 6,254$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ksenia Efremova | 7c | 5,119$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.33 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Ksenia Efremova | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Ksenia Efremova | 22c | 4,610$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ksenia Efremova | 15c | 4,466$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.9 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ksenia Efremova | 15c | 4,009$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.09 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Ksenia Efremova | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Ksenia Efremova | 0c | 3,337$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Ksenia Efremova | 4c | 2,912$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ksenia Efremova | 16c | 2,559$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.74 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Ksenia Efremova | 6c | 2,374$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Ksenia Efremova | 7c | 2,104$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…59e9backed Ksenia Efremova | 16c | 2,003$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ksenia Efremova | 5c | 1,892$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Ksenia Efremova | 1c | 1,826$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed Ksenia Efremova | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ksenia Efremova | 17c | 1,648$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.16 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Ksenia Efremova | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Ksenia Efremova | 6c | 1,165$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Ksenia Efremova | 8c | 1,120$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…61d9backed Ksenia Efremova | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Ksenia Efremova | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Ksenia Efremova | 9c | 999.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Ksenia Efremova | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Ksenia Efremova | 4c | 999.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Ksenia Efremova | 18c | 927.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Ksenia Efremova | 23c | 862.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Ksenia Efremova | 5c | 809$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ksenia Efremova | 2c | 750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ksenia Efremova | 12c | 705.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Ksenia Efremova | 8c | 637.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ksenia Efremova | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Ksenia Efremova | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Ksenia Efremova | 9c | 495.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked Ksenia Efremova | 8c | 472.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Ksenia Efremova | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Ksenia Efremova | 5c | 379.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ksenia Efremova | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ksenia Efremova | 5c | 279.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Ksenia Efremova | 19c | 263.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Ksenia Efremova | 16c | 256.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Ksenia Efremova | 8c | 204.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Ksenia Efremova | 18c | 188$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ksenia Efremova | 17c | 152.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Ksenia Efremova | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Ksenia Efremova | 18c | 117.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…5153backed Ksenia Efremova | 9c | 109.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Ksenia Efremova | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…8437backed Ksenia Efremova | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ksenia Efremova | 19c | 69.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Ksenia Efremova | 19c | 60.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Ksenia Efremova | 18c | 60.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 130 | 13.8%18 W · 112 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Ksenia Efremova | 18c | 58.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Sorana Cirstea | 80c | 56.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Sorana Cirstea | 77c | 37.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Sorana Cirstea | 80c | 18.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Ksenia Efremova vs Sorana Cirsteathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Efremova vs CirsteaCirstea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.