CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6eda7270b23da766959fe9bf83ac0beb904b465b05314314aec11ef1f0a71cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof GenOne, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb209…b744backed GenOne | 1c | 28,109$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.09 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Atreides | 72c | 8,402$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.41 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked GenOne | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GenOne | 35c | 990.72$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.97 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Atreides | 63c | 957.32$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.45 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Atreides | 63c | 798.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.72 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Atreides | 51c | 791.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.8 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 57c | 786.22$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed GenOne | 48c | 546.71$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.75 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed Atreides | 51c | 480.18$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GenOne | 32c | 411.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed GenOne | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked GenOne | 31c | 380$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GenOne | 43c | 329.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked GenOne | 76c | 288.86$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.08 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GenOne | 48c | 265.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked GenOne | 50c | 207$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 42c | 199$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Atreides | 55c | 180.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed GenOne | 34c | 176.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…cbe5backed Atreides | 65c | 162.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed GenOne | 69c | 161.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed GenOne | 47c | 159.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed GenOne | 43c | 149.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Atreides | 14c | 136$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed GenOne | 23c | 127.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GenOne | 36c | 119.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked GenOne | 55c | 118.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GenOne | 40c | 113.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Atreides | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GenOne | 62c | 99.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked GenOne | 21c | 89.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 56c | 88.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed GenOne | 40c | 88.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GenOne | 32c | 87.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed GenOne | 30c | 82.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Atreides | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked GenOne | 43c | 71.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked GenOne | 50c | 47.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed GenOne | 54c | 46.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 61c | 46.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed GenOne | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Atreides | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…692dbacked Atreides | 63c | 25.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked GenOne | 46c | 21.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.