Tennis · resolved market
ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Marie Vogt vs Laima Vladson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf722118c2b6648fe2a2ab20a5412d108be4e2d855fd2ab86a074174800904a13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laima Vladsonof Marie Vogt, Laima Vladson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Laima Vladson | 30c | 8,361$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,883.1 | 411 | 31.9%131 W · 280 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marie Vogt | 33c | 3,901$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.5 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Laima Vladson | 67c | 3,571$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.5 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Marie Vogt | 60c | 2,597$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.83 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Marie Vogt | 67c | 1,632$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.94 | 819 | 59.3%486 W · 333 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Laima Vladson | 17c | 1,627$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.54 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Laima Vladson | 22c | 1,612$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.64 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Marie Vogt | 76c | 1,591$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.27 | 220 | 62.7%138 W · 82 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Laima Vladson | 19c | 1,417$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.53 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Marie Vogt | 77c | 1,292$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.62 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Laima Vladson | 31c | 1,009$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.15 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Marie Vogt | 61c | 651.11$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.61 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Marie Vogt | 76c | 424.13$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.34 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Marie Vogt | 24c | 412.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Laima Vladson | 36c | 410.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.78 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Laima Vladson | 22c | 379.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.03 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…b09cbacked Laima Vladson | 68c | 336.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Laima Vladson | 39c | 320.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Laima Vladson | 35c | 304.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.97 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Laima Vladson | 39c | 187$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Laima Vladson | 58c | 184.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Laima Vladson | 35c | 161.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Laima Vladson | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Marie Vogt | 78c | 129.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Laima Vladson | 34c | 117$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Marie Vogt | 63c | 99.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Marie Vogt | 39c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Marie Vogt | 64c | 97.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Laima Vladson | 35c | 95.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Laima Vladson | 31c | 90.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Marie Vogt | 75c | 83.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4c5bbacked Marie Vogt | 60c | 83.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Marie Vogt | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Laima Vladson | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…28d4backed Marie Vogt | 56c | 72.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Marie Vogt | 74c | 71.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Marie Vogt | 75c | 65.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Laima Vladson | 69c | 55.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Marie Vogt | 37c | 52.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…5679backed Laima Vladson | 74c | 46.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Laima Vladson | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marie Vogt | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Marie Vogt | 79c | 32.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d29…5b7dbacked Marie Vogt | 76c | 26.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Marie Vogt | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 176 | 57.4%101 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Marie Vogt | 76c | 21.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Marie Vogt | 79c | 21.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 435 | 58.9%256 W · 179 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Marie Vogt | 79c | 21.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 383 | 59.8%229 W · 154 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6c…9c86backed Laima Vladson | 73c | 20.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…e711backed Laima Vladson | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Marie Vogt | 62c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c80…814bbacked Marie Vogt | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 68cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Marie Vogt | 74c | 19.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 207 | 72%149 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed Marie Vogt | 75c | 15.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Marie Vogt vs Laima Vladsonthis page
- ITF W50 Hamburg Women: Completed Match: Marie Vogt vs Laima VladsonYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.