Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf735a44de25f6b4acdda4e09fdb6d1e16f66078f61e4553f0dc668d0e6e37b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 2,153$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…82cfbacked No | 43c | 1,012$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 51c | 866.47$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.81 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 731.48$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 19c | 616.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 10c | 427.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 396.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 5c | 387.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 41c | 346.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 12c | 306.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 35c | 235.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 42c | 225.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf94…bbf1backed No | 14c | 208.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 27c | 207.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 10c | 196.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 20c | 178.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 151.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 140.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 19c | 137.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b73abacked No | 69c | 121.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 61c | 121.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 39c | 107.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked No | 60c | 98.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 27c | 97.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…13f3backed No | 14c | 96.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 12c | 95.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…92c3backed Yes | 74c | 94.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 60c | 83.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0971backed Yes | 78c | 82.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 20c | 81.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 38c | 78.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 50c | 75.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 36c | 69.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 53c | 65.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 61c | 65.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 40c | 58.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…fe90backed No | 57c | 56.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 53.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…55b9backed Yes | 60c | 51.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 79c | 49.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 31c | 47.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 34c | 47.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…f052backed No | 61c | 44.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 67c | 40.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 75c | 39.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 38c | 38.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…a44abacked No | 26c | 38.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 42c | 38.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 32c | 37.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 65c | 36.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…c265backed Yes | 40c | 35.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 76c | 34.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…db02backed Yes | 42c | 33.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 58c | 32.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 38c | 31.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…087ebacked Yes | 38c | 31.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 42c | 30.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 40c | 30.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 42c | 29.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…3ee2backed Yes | 39c | 29.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 58c | 28.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 59c | 28.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 60c | 27.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 75c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 78c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…2d87backed Yes | 79c | 24.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…b4e1backed No | 63c | 24.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 46c | 24.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…293dbacked No | 53c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 49c | 22.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…f7f7backed Yes | 77c | 22.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 57c | 22.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 62c | 21.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 75c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 66c | 19.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…87b1backed Yes | 75c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…f525backed No | 59c | 17.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.41per pick | 56cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 60c | 16.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked Yes | 74c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.