NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf75787621b6dea097127c6f78ca07a477f17e030354e8557d041d7a7a1aaa1fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 49c | 3,564$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.52 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Hornets | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.94 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Rockets | 63c | 1,585$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Hornets | 35c | 1,439$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.79 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 34c | 1,033$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Rockets | 15c | 951.06$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Hornets | 28c | 718.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.95 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Rockets | 15c | 682.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Rockets | 32c | 466.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…2965backed Rockets | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2335…d7d5backed Hornets | 37c | 400$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Hornets | 67c | 359$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Hornets | 15c | 333$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Hornets | 37c | 328.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…8d72backed Rockets | 71c | 314.08$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…28e5backed Hornets | 28c | 313.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…3a25backed Rockets | 17c | 287.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Hornets | 23c | 266.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.03 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Rockets | 75c | 264.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Rockets | 67c | 245.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Hornets | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…da1ebacked Hornets | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Hornets | 17c | 157.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…7044backed Hornets | 33c | 137.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb9…840bbacked Hornets | 30c | 129.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…5355backed Rockets | 77c | 117.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Rockets | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Rockets | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Rockets | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Rockets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Rockets | 73c | 75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc796…72c0backed Rockets | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Rockets | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Hornets | 24c | 54.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Hornets | 24c | 52.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…5459backed Rockets | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Rockets | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…b755backed Rockets | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…4332backed Rockets | 68c | 32.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Rockets | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…7c86backed Rockets | 44c | 27.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c6…4ca0backed Rockets | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Rockets | 73c | 24.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…cf1bbacked Rockets | 74c | 19.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.