TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,202 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb0b…3790backed Over6c443.2$27 inWon+$416.616634.8%23 W · 43 L+13.5wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+156.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under22c297.36$64 inLost-$64.3192835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over65c247.44$162 inWon+$85.469152.7%48 W · 43 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under6c242.73$15 inLost-$15.0570842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over12c211.19$25 inWon+$185.851,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under50c200.4$100 inLost-$100.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over22c184.15$41 inWon+$143.643574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over47c143.71$67 inWon+$76.4510837%40 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over29c143.53$42 inWon+$101.871,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over13c142.96$19 inWon+$124.268836.4%32 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c129$75 inLost-$74.551,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over25c102.19$25 inWon+$76.9656445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b0…af4abacked Under76c96.52$73 inLost-$73.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under31c80$25 inLost-$25.1758542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under54c74.56$40 inLost-$40.265846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over47c65.68$31 inWon+$34.8119751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over23c59.7$14 inWon+$45.971,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over41c58$24 inWon+$34.444152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over23c56.96$13 inWon+$43.8634847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under79c34.01$27 inLost-$26.7626348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over76c18$14 inWon+$4.4110454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under79c16.81$13 inLost-$13.2814949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under76c13.84$11 inLost-$10.52560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under76c13.17$10 inLost-$10.016041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.