Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7892a0b35771dda4dbec6c1808ed7fadd0311c9f841255405f19a39ccb53a232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 30c | 1,695$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.64 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 56c | 1,470$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.67 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 27c | 922.13$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.16 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 19c | 812.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…fd92backed Over | 78c | 682.83$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 65c | 678.61$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.65 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 581.39$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.77 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 546.95$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 28c | 436.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 370.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 38c | 270.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 245.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 209.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 44c | 202.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 190.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 180$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 178.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 72c | 150.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 124.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 36c | 122.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 26c | 109.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 77c | 103.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 99.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 45c | 92.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 20c | 77.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 76.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 27c | 72.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 27c | 68.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 73c | 67.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 73c | 67.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Under | 21c | 66.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 60c | 66.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 20c | 65.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 50c | 57.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 56.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 29c | 50.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 80c | 45.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 28c | 43.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 54c | 40.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 37.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 61c | 31.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 58c | 29.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 74c | 29.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 61c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 54c | 22.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 74c | 19.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 74c | 17.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 74c | 14.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.