Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Hungary vs Turkiye
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7a7fc7e98a73dad45ecef0f6a5a71db39a4d16956723095e67e943a1b2f949c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hungaryof Hungary, Turkiye
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Hungary | 79c | 7,616$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Turkiye | 21c | 3,556$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.86 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Turkiye | 17c | 2,652$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.25 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Turkiye | 21c | 1,600$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.52 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Turkiye | 23c | 1,574$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.56 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hungary | 74c | 1,427$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.72 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Turkiye | 16c | 1,030$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Turkiye | 18c | 964.23$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Turkiye | 10c | 930$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Turkiye | 14c | 633.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Turkiye | 11c | 633.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Hungary | 79c | 470$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Turkiye | 18c | 413.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Turkiye | 21c | 410$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Turkiye | 20c | 390.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Turkiye | 23c | 226$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Turkiye | 21c | 215.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Turkiye | 10c | 206.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Turkiye | 10c | 200.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hungary | 79c | 193.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Hungary | 76c | 189.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Turkiye | 23c | 170$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Turkiye | 23c | 149.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Turkiye | 12c | 118.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Turkiye | 29c | 103.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Hungary | 72c | 101.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Turkiye | 24c | 101.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Hungary | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Hungary | 73c | 69.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Hungary | 76c | 64.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Turkiye | 21c | 58.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Turkiye | 25c | 43.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hungary | 74c | 39.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Turkiye | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hungary | 73c | 31.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Hungary | 73c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Hungary | 77c | 21.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Hungary | 69c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Hungary | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8578backed Hungary | 70c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Hungary | 77c | 15.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.