Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Edas Butvilas vs Masamichi Imamura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80186ed02d395f533c895647c4afdf85fdee0efba7b5f0aa81ff7679220b41e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edas Butvilasof Edas Butvilas, Masamichi Imamura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Masamichi Imamura | 9c | 7,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Masamichi Imamura | 10c | 3,384$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.07 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Masamichi Imamura | 18c | 2,147$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Masamichi Imamura | 13c | 1,745$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Masamichi Imamura | 11c | 1,726$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Masamichi Imamura | 14c | 1,331$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Masamichi Imamura | 14c | 1,157$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…1ccbbacked Masamichi Imamura | 10c | 959.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Masamichi Imamura | 15c | 886$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Masamichi Imamura | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed Edas Butvilas | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Masamichi Imamura | 17c | 516.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Masamichi Imamura | 21c | 490.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Masamichi Imamura | 28c | 472$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Edas Butvilas | 76c | 454.54$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…3260backed Masamichi Imamura | 6c | 440$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Edas Butvilas | 72c | 284.26$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Masamichi Imamura | 32c | 266.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Edas Butvilas | 79c | 253.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Edas Butvilas | 76c | 220.86$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Masamichi Imamura | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Masamichi Imamura | 20c | 189.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Edas Butvilas | 67c | 185.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…916abacked Masamichi Imamura | 11c | 175$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Masamichi Imamura | 16c | 166$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Edas Butvilas | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Masamichi Imamura | 14c | 138.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Edas Butvilas | 78c | 104.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Edas Butvilas | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Masamichi Imamura | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Masamichi Imamura | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Edas Butvilas | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Edas Butvilas | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Masamichi Imamura | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Masamichi Imamura | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Masamichi Imamura | 14c | 80.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…125ebacked Masamichi Imamura | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Edas Butvilas | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Edas Butvilas | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Edas Butvilas | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.