Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82f797c12a8f52437e0a46b253f105fdd10fc524559253d48dd97a0a2506703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fc3…c9e7backed No | 48c | 19,343$9,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,132.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…dd71backed Yes | 52c | 19,343$10,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,132.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 1,607$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 23c | 1,406$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,391$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.96 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 1,240$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.83 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 10c | 1,121$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 462.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 236.03$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 128.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 16c | 87.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 23c | 70.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 22c | 57.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 23c | 47.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 79c | 36.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…9d3bbacked No | 78c | 19.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?this page
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.