Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e9b18e6a98cb89641d68445b688e4f3af015fae6fcf5c0a301b6db221ba2c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fc3…c9e7backed Yes | 44c | 9,501$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…dd71backed No | 56c | 9,501$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 6,352$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 2,944$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.37 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…c9dabacked Yes | 60c | 2,600$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 2,498$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 60c | 1,843$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 40c | 1,801$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.56 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 76c | 1,639$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.34 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 61c | 1,471$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.53 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 1,290$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.42 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 1c | 1,220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 22c | 907$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 26c | 724.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 6c | 566.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 40c | 398.27$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 40c | 392.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 40c | 355$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 4c | 300.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 61c | 251.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…d90fbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 5c | 243.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 61c | 229.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 60c | 229.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 11c | 223.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 11c | 207.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 6c | 167.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 79c | 159.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 59c | 143.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 78c | 142$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 60c | 133.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…03fcbacked No | 23c | 131.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 12c | 130.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 12c | 125.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…ca05backed Yes | 79c | 120.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 21c | 117.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 116.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 61c | 111.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 59c | 83.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…5828backed No | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 78c | 59.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 59c | 56.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 79c | 50.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 77c | 45.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 57c | 37.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…9d3bbacked No | 40c | 37.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…ae0dbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 40c | 26.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 74c | 26.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Yes | 76c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked No | 40c | 25.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Yes | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 77c | 21.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 60c | 21.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…3688backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 59c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 72c | 15.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 75c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Molde FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.