NHL · resolved market
AHL: Calgary Wranglers vs. San Jose Barracuda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83d0337f07239cfb9a85778da406e3ffa5d2c52ca2fd4e7f5d221e7546169d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Jose Barracudaof Calgary Wranglers, San Jose Barracuda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 1,991$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.22 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 666$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.74 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Calgary Wranglers | 16c | 391.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed San Jose Barracuda | 59c | 134.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Calgary Wranglers | 45c | 118.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Calgary Wranglers | 40c | 98.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Calgary Wranglers | 34c | 93.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Calgary Wranglers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Calgary Wranglers | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed San Jose Barracuda | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed San Jose Barracuda | 57c | 36.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Calgary Wranglers | 44c | 32.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Jose Barracuda | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.