Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Cornell Big Red
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf878ae8d96522b2a122f4fb5dc59900cb20b6df643e4342c3e241ec85f792ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dartmouth Big Greenof Dartmouth Big Green, Cornell Big Red
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cornell Big Red | 79c | 1,549$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.71 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 21c | 1,200$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.44 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cornell Big Red | 49c | 675.03$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cornell Big Red | 32c | 545.04$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.24 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Cornell Big Red | 47c | 433.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.67 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 61c | 342.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dartmouth Big Green | 23c | 269$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cornell Big Red | 77c | 265.11$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 21c | 255$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Dartmouth Big Green | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 217.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Dartmouth Big Green | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Dartmouth Big Green | 61c | 191.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4aa8backed Dartmouth Big Green | 55c | 189$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b24…2d97backed Dartmouth Big Green | 71c | 186$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Dartmouth Big Green | 62c | 160.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cornell Big Red | 80c | 157$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Dartmouth Big Green | 64c | 156.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cornell Big Red | 29c | 154$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 140.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 21c | 125$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Dartmouth Big Green | 34c | 106.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cornell Big Red | 75c | 98.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cornell Big Red | 24c | 94.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Cornell Big Red | 18c | 88.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Cornell Big Red | 77c | 66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cornell Big Red | 80c | 48.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cornell Big Red | 75c | 34.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…b586backed Dartmouth Big Green | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 64c | 26.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cornell Big Red | 78c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cornell Big Red | 77c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cornell Big Red | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Cornell Big Redthis page
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 173.5Over won
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 174.5Over won
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 175.5Over won
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-7.5)Dartmouth Big Green won
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-8.5)Dartmouth Big Green won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.