TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,563 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under26c5,000$1,286 inLost-$1,286.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over74c1,847$1,367 inWon+$480.2326345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over74c1,426$1,055 inWon+$370.851450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over75c998.61$749 inWon+$249.6553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over74c481$356 inWon+$125.0691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Over76c131.57$100 inWon+$31.58977.8%7 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick78cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over75c63.23$47 inWon+$15.811,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over76c46.68$35 inWon+$11.211144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c44$11 inLost-$10.563,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb49f…8c93backed Over56c26.09$15 inWon+$11.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Over76c18.47$14 inWon+$4.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed Over76c18.47$14 inWon+$4.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Over75c14.72$11 inWon+$3.681957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.