TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Minnesota United FCof Sporting Kansas City, Minnesota United FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,011 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Sporting Kansas City26c1,176$300 inLost-$30016453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Minnesota United FC79c685.75$540 inWon+$145.7598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Minnesota United FC40c428.13$171 inWon+$257.124413.6%6 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota United FC54c419.22$225 inWon+$193.791,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Sporting Kansas City18c338$61 inLost-$60.846563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Minnesota United FC52c323$168 inWon+$154.5618774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Sporting Kansas City59c282.9$167 inLost-$167.3216437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Sporting Kansas City17c265.17$45 inLost-$44.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sporting Kansas City12c156.18$19 inLost-$18.743,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Sporting Kansas City27c129.73$35 inLost-$35.0353040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota United FC73c97.86$71 inWon+$26.4246156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Minnesota United FC79c95.23$75 inWon+$2023350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Minnesota United FC80c68.75$55 inWon+$13.752425%6 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Sporting Kansas City20c50$10 inLost-$1027344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Sporting Kansas City36c50$18 inLost-$18.22951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Sporting Kansas City35c46$16 inLost-$16.1444350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Minnesota United FC72c32$23 inWon+$9.0782044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Sporting Kansas City46c30$14 inLost-$13.814549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota United FC79c21$17 inWon+$4.4187154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.