Mls · resolved market
Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc822cd543fdb4a419ef1bb941d33bdb7829848602b97db58f837e0b5270686a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 3,430$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.08 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.87 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 20c | 1,340$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 37c | 1,299$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 61c | 1,239$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 20c | 957.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.89 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 941.72$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.87 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 904.07$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 876$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.45 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 60c | 871.79$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.94 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 61c | 861.85$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 717.28$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.59 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 502.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 42c | 344.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 310.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 59c | 202$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 50c | 200.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 47c | 189$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 25c | 188.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 180.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 60c | 165.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 39c | 145.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 37c | 145.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 73c | 140.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 77c | 132.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 131.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 108$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 39c | 96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 39c | 91.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 90.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 38c | 80.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 77c | 71.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 57c | 65.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 61c | 61.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 40.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Under | 62c | 40.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 34.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 62c | 30.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 61c | 26.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 66c | 25.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 61c | 25.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 61c | 21.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…78c9backed Under | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: Minnesota United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. Minnesota United FC: Sporting Kansas City O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Minnesota United FC won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)Minnesota United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.