Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIR vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf904e2c4a92dd52abe2624b53607ba414909f4509f91231ac8082a520cabea70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIRof MIR, Formulation Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,416 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MIR | 58c | 3,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Formulation Gaming | 40c | 2,552$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MIR | 60c | 1,812$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.39 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Formulation Gaming | 41c | 1,680$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.8 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Formulation Gaming | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.9 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Formulation Gaming | 45c | 1,166$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.18 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed MIR | 56c | 896.08$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.92 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MIR | 58c | 823.18$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.66 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Formulation Gaming | 42c | 722.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed MIR | 58c | 383.27$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Formulation Gaming | 42c | 353.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Formulation Gaming | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Formulation Gaming | 8c | 257.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked MIR | 59c | 254.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed MIR | 62c | 252$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Formulation Gaming | 38c | 245.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…c283backed Formulation Gaming | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Formulation Gaming | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…0caebacked MIR | 59c | 167.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MIR | 60c | 149.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MIR | 56c | 145.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Formulation Gaming | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked MIR | 59c | 128.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Formulation Gaming | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked MIR | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MIR | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…4c0bbacked MIR | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked MIR | 56c | 79.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Formulation Gaming | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed MIR | 60c | 58.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bf…97babacked Formulation Gaming | 39c | 51.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed MIR | 60c | 50.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked MIR | 57c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed MIR | 58c | 41.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked MIR | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked MIR | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked MIR | 77c | 18.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.