NHL · resolved market
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Utica Comets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9df533c28580496fbea95b0fbd282e02e642e64d3e21a64a74f07a226155f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utica Cometsof Belleville Senators, Utica Comets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,830 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Utica Comets | 53c | 3,823$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.09 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Belleville Senators | 47c | 2,913$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.22 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Belleville Senators | 47c | 846$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.59 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Utica Comets | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utica Comets | 56c | 251.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Belleville Senators | 45c | 188.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Belleville Senators | 44c | 181.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Utica Comets | 56c | 179.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Belleville Senators | 44c | 170.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Belleville Senators | 44c | 150.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Belleville Senators | 44c | 121.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Utica Comets | 55c | 119$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Belleville Senators | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Belleville Senators | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Utica Comets | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…be2fbacked Belleville Senators | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Utica Comets | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Belleville Senators | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Belleville Senators | 44c | 70.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Belleville Senators | 44c | 68.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Belleville Senators | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Utica Comets | 65c | 56.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Belleville Senators | 43c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Utica Comets | 61c | 40.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Belleville Senators | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Utica Comets | 55c | 38.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Belleville Senators | 46c | 32.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Belleville Senators | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Utica Comets | 57c | 28.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Utica Comets | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Utica Comets | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.