CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9e4ffc3e0ce8928a65a8a5e0a6e20424035c04b8a5b4e529a9b2aab7f9e995d

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sharksof Sharks, BESTIA
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $62,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,387 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x82d2…beeabacked Sharks	57c	6,335$3,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,722.21	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Sharks	60c	3,553$2,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.38	364	53.8%196 W · 168 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA	33c	2,752$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.38	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA	44c	2,179$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.59	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BESTIA	40c	2,165$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.5	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed BESTIA	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	574	0%0 W · 574 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked BESTIA	40c	1,926$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.5	193	51.3%99 W · 94 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA	44c	1,503$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.54	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BESTIA	41c	1,500$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.05	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA	43c	1,412$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.33	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA	35c	1,130$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.99	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks	59c	1,129$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.44	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA	40c	967.05$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.17	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Sharks	63c	797.55$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.55	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Sharks	64c	782.2$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.2	201	56.7%114 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked BESTIA	41c	704$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.47	401	37.2%149 W · 252 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed BESTIA	40c	675$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	138	40.6%56 W · 82 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Sharks	46c	609.48$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.48	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked BESTIA	37c	597.35$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.15	401	40.6%163 W · 238 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed BESTIA	36c	523.61$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.45	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks	61c	430.23$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.21	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed BESTIA	11c	400$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	383	12.8%49 W · 334 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0146…4d51backed Sharks	56c	400$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BESTIA	54c	399.99$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.42	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Sharks	66c	378.12$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.25	172	30.8%53 W · 119 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Sharks	48c	349.99$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.5	303	49.8%151 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed BESTIA	35c	348.32$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.73	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed BESTIA	39c	333.83$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.19	608	53.3%324 W · 284 L	+20.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Sharks	60c	333$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.2	90	63.3%57 W · 33 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Sharks	63c	326.66$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.19	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Sharks	58c	308.2$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.76	304	50.7%154 W · 150 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BESTIA	39c	283.03$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.66	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Sharks	69c	278$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Sharks	63c	268.09$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.94	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed BESTIA	42c	264.8$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.32	421	54.6%230 W · 191 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed BESTIA	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Sharks	68c	251.73$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.05	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Sharks	56c	249.98$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.99	292	46.9%137 W · 155 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked BESTIA	34c	174.23$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	186	47.3%88 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Sharks	61c	173.51$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.67	351	48.1%169 W · 182 L	-13.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sharks	56c	172.18$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.21	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Sharks	58c	170.81$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.4	406	66.3%269 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BESTIA	19c	164.97$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.1	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51d3…1719backed Sharks	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf3…c1fdbacked Sharks	63c	159.4$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BESTIA	39c	155.5$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.28	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fec…7b7dbacked BESTIA	42c	146.37$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Sharks	50c	136.66$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.33	320	54.4%174 W · 146 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked BESTIA	59c	131.27$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.45	330	57.3%189 W · 141 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Sharks	59c	130.88$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.66	513	48.3%248 W · 265 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sharks	45c	118.61$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.68	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked BESTIA	41c	115.05$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.17	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Sharks	58c	109.1$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.82	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a9…5862backed BESTIA	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed BESTIA	40c	104$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.95	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8084…f4a3backed BESTIA	39c	102$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked BESTIA	35c	101.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.51	250	42.4%106 W · 144 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked BESTIA	53c	100.64$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.12	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed BESTIA	38c	100.38$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.36	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Sharks	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.13	271	50.6%137 W · 134 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Sharks	67c	90.9$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Sharks	56c	89.84$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.84	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Sharks	58c	86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.12	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked BESTIA	40c	74.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	152	46.1%70 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked BESTIA	40c	61.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked BESTIA	36c	58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…b1d4backed Sharks	61c	54.1$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.1	35	68.6%24 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked BESTIA	37c	52.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	675	47.3%319 W · 356 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sharks	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.02	723	53.5%387 W · 336 L	+28.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Sharks	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	169	58%98 W · 71 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed BESTIA	41c	48.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	272	48.9%133 W · 139 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed Sharks	59c	45.36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.79	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed BESTIA	41c	44.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	771	46%355 W · 416 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed BESTIA	30c	43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.84	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e42…4938backed BESTIA	45c	42.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Sharks	58c	40.15$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.86	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BESTIA	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed BESTIA	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fe…311abacked Sharks	61c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked BESTIA	41c	36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	200	45%90 W · 110 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Sharks	71c	33.54$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.73	313	72.8%228 W · 85 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde0…20bfbacked Sharks	58c	31.97$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.57	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed BESTIA	43c	24.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	965	43.5%420 W · 545 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sharks	60c	22.95$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sharks	74c	22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.67	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5005…bcb1backed Sharks	63c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed BESTIA	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	78	66.7%52 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Sharks	74c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.16	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA (BO3) - RES Showdown South America PlayoffsSharks won
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)BESTIA won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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