Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f47d81729ce89963fab2d95a544300ee23dfb46cf35506ac4f79d0c6bb8e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 18c | 3,171$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 5c | 1,727$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 79c | 1,200$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 21c | 756$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 388.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 346$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 77c | 346$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 231.03$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 77c | 209.32$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 139$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 29c | 102.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 29c | 55.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 76c | 52.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 52.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 22c | 50.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 23c | 43.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 34.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 74c | 34.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 3.5this page
- Haiti vs. Peru: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 1.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 2.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Peru won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Peru won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.