Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09bfdc1c2b0fc5dade2834035335080895fa1a5c016677d28d37b69c432f17ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 2,690$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.02 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 71c | 2,073$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.1 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 70c | 1,943$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.03 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 1,501$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.33 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…3553backed Over | 71c | 1,418$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.89 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 49c | 1,030$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.51 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 960.16$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.83 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 894.29$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.13 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 836.61$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.19 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 32c | 580.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 442.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 42c | 418.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.29 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 63c | 300$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…7df6backed Over | 63c | 299.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 39c | 261.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 30c | 250.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 61c | 234.08$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 63c | 226.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 68c | 205.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 31c | 179.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 169.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 43c | 162.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Under | 30c | 149.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 143.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 8c | 136.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 33c | 126.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 121.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 19c | 108.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 32c | 105.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 30c | 100.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 41c | 92.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 68c | 50.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 87 | 73.6%64 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 29c | 49.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 70c | 49.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 43.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 71c | 41.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 60c | 39.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 32c | 37.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Under | 55c | 36.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 71c | 35.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 69c | 30.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 68c | 28.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…d1f9backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 53c | 19.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 1.5this page
- Haiti vs. Peru: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 2.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Peru won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Peru won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.