Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82ad5b8dc395292ae95b9de5ef09c2317390f50a8eecb7d12563dc32289c5e0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 45c | 4,453$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.43 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 32c | 2,000$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.31 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 1,294$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.31 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 1,203$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 901.43$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 891.2$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.45 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 50c | 758$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.38 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 63c | 723.08$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.54 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 78c | 700$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 588.33$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.41 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 484.88$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 44c | 444.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.73 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 365$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 324.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 44c | 311.36$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 296.76$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 45c | 236.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Over | 42c | 230$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 50c | 198.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 197$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 57c | 175.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 57c | 174.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 34c | 148.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 134.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 125.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 120.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 39c | 99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 61c | 84.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 33c | 78.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 34c | 63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 61.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Over | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 44.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 43.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 67c | 40.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 59c | 39.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 59c | 39.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Under | 57c | 38.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 44c | 35.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 41c | 25.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 2.5this page
- Haiti vs. Peru: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 1.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Peru won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Peru won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.