TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over45c4,453$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.4311820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over32c2,000$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.3111147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c1,294$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.314,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c1,203$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.51,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c901.43$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c891.2$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.452,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c758$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3810744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under63c723.08$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under78c700$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5491968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over40c588.33$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under55c484.88$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.993,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over44c444.16$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7319746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c365$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.159752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c324.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.021,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over44c311.36$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3621747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18622634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c296.76$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.191,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over45c236.03$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7927255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Over42c230$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.630040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over50c198.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4310948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c197$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under57c175.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9118764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under57c174.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3447935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6712250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over34c148.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5311027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0652441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under65c134.8$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.881,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under54c125.23$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.041,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c120.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over31c112.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.93151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over39c99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1422052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under61c84.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over33c78.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8722656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.187243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over34c63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under55c61.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.611,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked Over47c59.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.575862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.567237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c44.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.941,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over30c43.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Over35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.867635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Under71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308551.8%44 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under67c40.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.218649.5%92 W · 94 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under59c39.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.235549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under59c39.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.241451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e26…ecc5backed Under57c38.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.974156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over44c35.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9336329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0915247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0982340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f2…d85fbacked Under50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over58c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1115059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under41c25.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.452,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1423552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.