Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Peru: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fd4795966ea3dd92afbe9672807a086b407f561a1e583f57467657c4430fdd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 53c | 3,203$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed No | 51c | 1,970$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 1,377$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.15 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.85 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b12backed No | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 47c | 674.55$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.18 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 570.7$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 530.79$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 53c | 474.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 48c | 277.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 247.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 43c | 227.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 46c | 222$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 47c | 170.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 138.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 52c | 127.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed No | 59c | 122.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 52c | 114.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 52c | 103.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 50c | 84.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 53c | 76.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Yes | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 56.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…8761backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 300 | 40.3%121 W · 179 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 49.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…5079backed No | 65c | 46.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 56c | 45.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…8244backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 53c | 30.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 27.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Peru: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 1.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 2.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Peru won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Peru won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.