Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. San Francisco Dons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa186af3b6dfcc54dd7245625e57e0d5c94bd955e1f7c12cf1346d01d941d150
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santa Clara Broncosof Santa Clara Broncos, San Francisco Dons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Dons | 19c | 4,158$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Dons | 2c | 2,788$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 79c | 1,192$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.61 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked San Francisco Dons | 19c | 1,017$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Francisco Dons | 27c | 913.18$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Dons | 25c | 548.22$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed San Francisco Dons | 24c | 542.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Santa Clara Broncos | 74c | 424.2$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Dons | 17c | 361.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed San Francisco Dons | 10c | 351.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed San Francisco Dons | 26c | 323.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Francisco Dons | 26c | 299.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed San Francisco Dons | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Dons | 7c | 287.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 79c | 286$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 254.55$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Santa Clara Broncos | 79c | 227.46$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Dons | 24c | 199.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Santa Clara Broncos | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Dons | 26c | 172.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Dons | 16c | 120.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed San Francisco Dons | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Santa Clara Broncos | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked San Francisco Dons | 19c | 53.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Francisco Dons | 25c | 51.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed San Francisco Dons | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked San Francisco Dons | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Santa Clara Broncos | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Santa Clara Broncos | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. San Francisco Donsthis page
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 157.5Over won
- Santa Clara Broncos vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 158.5Over won
- Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-6.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
- Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-7.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
- Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-8.5)Santa Clara Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.