Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas City Roos vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa824c6e6b4f6293ffb62377fe914a7bd4028f61373d7c81a71b3bbefbe106c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 29,249$14,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,704.32 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 24,469$12,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,216.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 49c | 13,743$6,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,734.12 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 48c | 5,160$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.2 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 2,906$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 2,177$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 1,318$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.82 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 1,153$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.52 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 877.45$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.6 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 587.33$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.39 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 51c | 550$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 51c | 539$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.11 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 428.04$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 365.46$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.82 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 353.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 50c | 291.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 51c | 284.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 47c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Under | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 53c | 37.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Over | 51c | 23.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Roos vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 150.5this page
- Kansas City Roos vs. St. Thomas (MN) TommiesSt. Thomas (MN) Tommies won
- Kansas City Roos vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-18.5)St. Thomas (MN) Tommies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.