Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa85af4fa00feedb6b074e2c7c81fc63b2533a7e6544a48ad43c492e05e8ae2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Darderi, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68e2…fbe5backed Borges | 71c | 727.38$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borges | 69c | 372.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Borges | 50c | 197.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Darderi | 50c | 197.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Darderi | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Darderi | 46c | 192$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Borges | 51c | 151.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Darderi | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Darderi | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Borges | 51c | 141.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 55c | 119.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Darderi | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Darderi | 50c | 116.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Darderi | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Darderi | 45c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Darderi | 44c | 76.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Darderi | 31c | 66.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Darderi | 42c | 61.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…fb88backed Darderi | 46c | 54.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Darderi | 45c | 33.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Borges | 55c | 24.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs Borgesthis page
- Darderi vs. Borges: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Darderi vs. Borges: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Darderi vs. Borges: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno BorgesNuno Borges won
- Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Borges won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.