MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa9aa5ca9e53d5100e2023a8b84ba6d9608806c4d5bec75bbc16b1f8f5bc2d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Kia Tigers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 2,761$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.57 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 2,454$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.46 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 23c | 1,838$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 553.8$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.21 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 5c | 465.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 362.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 231.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 177.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 160.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…8239backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 142.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 140.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 138.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 117.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 115.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 110.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 75.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 68.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Samsung Lions | 41c | 61.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 48.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 47.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 40.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 39.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…c60fbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 39.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…0ac8backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 37.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 33.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 28.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 26.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 22.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.