Tennis · resolved market
ITF Corroios-Seixal: Han Shi vs Xinyu Gao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb7bb85c890aa6de46cf0bb9908711a7b2a9458c0596f1c89cd0577f39332f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinyu Gaoof Han Shi, Xinyu Gao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Han Shi | 17c | 2,503$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.51 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xinyu Gao | 78c | 1,715$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Han Shi | 15c | 1,339$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Han Shi | 40c | 882.49$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xinyu Gao | 60c | 709.86$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.69 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Han Shi | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Han Shi | 14c | 461.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Han Shi | 37c | 454.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Han Shi | 35c | 433.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Han Shi | 15c | 323.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Han Shi | 31c | 256.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Han Shi | 39c | 252.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xinyu Gao | 56c | 235.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Han Shi | 44c | 235.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Xinyu Gao | 64c | 148.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Xinyu Gao | 63c | 116.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xinyu Gao | 68c | 112.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xinyu Gao | 62c | 98.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Han Shi | 37c | 81.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Xinyu Gao | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Han Shi | 35c | 76.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Han Shi | 37c | 75.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Xinyu Gao | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Xinyu Gao | 61c | 72.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Han Shi | 25c | 67.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Han Shi | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Han Shi | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Han Shi | 38c | 44.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Han Shi | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e97…8504backed Xinyu Gao | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Xinyu Gao | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Han Shi | 36c | 36.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Xinyu Gao | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Xinyu Gao | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Xinyu Gao | 78c | 16.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.