NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9d259235f0c86dbd62ab62cca75a450e092241f0e8e40f7b75e79e72899a5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Maple Leafs, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blackhawks | 37c | 70,000$25,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,399.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 48,403$29,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,510.82 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 18,868$10,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,126.8 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Blackhawks | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 9,606$5,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,091.16 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 8,467$6,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,085.42 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blackhawks | 47c | 7,027$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.31 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 73c | 6,423$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700.31 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Blackhawks | 26c | 5,141$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.05 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Blackhawks | 30c | 4,755$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.03 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 4,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 3,887$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.11 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blackhawks | 26c | 3,511$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.43 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks | 42c | 2,816$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.58 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,530$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.1 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Blackhawks | 47c | 2,173$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.86 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 2,104$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.09 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blackhawks | 26c | 1,900$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,755$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.35 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,598$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.82 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 1,554$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.03 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,511$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.64 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,406$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.22 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…f308backed Blackhawks | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,358$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.95 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Blackhawks | 48c | 1,288$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.5 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,200$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 1,163$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.18 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,152$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.59 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Blackhawks | 26c | 1,079$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.4 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 980.43$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.43 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…046cbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blackhawks | 47c | 834.19$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.12 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blackhawks | 44c | 800$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 800$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks | 50c | 780.98$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.14 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 749.98$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.49 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 723.52$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 664$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 640$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 619.57$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Blackhawks | 49c | 613.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Blackhawks | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…2847backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 602.45$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks | 29c | 591.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Blackhawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Blackhawks | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…3b6dbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Blackhawks | 47c | 458$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.74 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed Blackhawks | 26c | 450$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…b013backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 379.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…685bbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 366.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Blackhawks | 65c | 309.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blackhawks | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Blackhawks | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Blackhawks | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blackhawks | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Blackhawks | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…3206backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 258$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…f80abacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 250$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…dcb8backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 245$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…d107backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 240.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…78bcbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…4692backed Blackhawks | 46c | 236$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Blackhawks | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Blackhawks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…6371backed Blackhawks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b03…7fbcbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 207.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Blackhawks | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 196.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Blackhawks | 32c | 194.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 188.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…8437backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 167.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 159.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Blackhawks | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Blackhawks | 47c | 155$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Blackhawks | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawksthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.